Long Bets

Hold

Platforms

A prediction platform for long-term public bets on future events.

Why it's here

Placed in Hold: 1 article(s) of evidence from 1 source(s), led by research-stage coverage, with 1 in the last 30 days. Confidence 24%. Low accumulated evidence, so it defaults conservatively pending more signal.

Evidence (1)

2Hacker News·8/9/2026research
Long Bets prediction on URL persistence reaches its deadline
A 2011 Long Bets prediction asked whether the original URL for a specific page would still be available in 11 years. The bet’s terms allowed a normal page, a redirect, or an archived destination to determine the winner, highlighting the problem of link rot and long-term URL stability on the web.